ZTO Express (Cayman) (MEX:ZTO N) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.31 (As of Aug. 22, 2026) — Near Median

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MEX:ZTO N ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc MEX:ZTO N
95 GF Score
Price MXN394.77
GF Value MXN512.26
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

ZTO Express (Cayman) MEX:ZTO N 95 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.31 as of Aug. 22, 2026, which is 8% below its 10-year median of 2.50. GuruFocus rates MEX:ZTO N with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN512.26 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 713 Transportation companies, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks worse than 77.28% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-22), ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current share price is MXN394.77. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN170.93. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 2.31.

The historical rank and industry rank for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ZTO N' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.13   Med: 2.5   Max: 2.94
Current: 2.38

During the past years, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 2.94. The lowest was 2.13. And the median was 2.50.

MEX:ZTO N's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
77.28% of 713 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 1.26 vs MEX:ZTO N: 2.38

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN215.436. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is MXN170.93 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


ZTO Express (Cayman)  (MEX:ZTO N) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

ZTO Express (Cayman) Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.42

ZTO Express (Cayman) Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.16 2.30 2.42 2.88 2.49

MEX:ZTO N vs CHRW, EXPD, FDXF: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


MEX:ZTO N
95GF Score
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc MEX:ZTO N
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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ZTO Express (Cayman) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=394.77/170.93
=2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=215.436/116.0564*116.0564
=215.436

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 116.0564.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 34.881 102.400 39.533
201612 81.643 102.600 92.351
201703 76.413 103.200 85.932
201706 75.790 103.100 85.314
201709 79.861 104.100 89.033
201712 88.479 104.500 98.264
201803 81.718 105.300 90.065
201806 116.293 104.900 128.661
201809 114.714 106.600 124.890
201812 124.259 106.500 135.409
201903 123.106 107.700 132.658
201906 122.890 107.700 132.425
201909 128.801 109.800 136.140
201912 131.718 111.200 137.470
202003 159.590 112.300 164.928
202006 614.901 110.400 646.406
202009 188.851 111.700 196.216
202012 179.750 111.500 187.095
202103 181.842 112.662 187.322
202106 183.789 111.769 190.839
202109 184.837 112.215 191.164
202112 193.765 113.108 198.816
202203 187.644 114.335 190.470
202206 186.726 114.558 189.169
202209 183.723 115.339 184.866
202212 185.322 115.116 186.837
202303 175.513 115.116 176.947
202306 165.480 114.558 167.645
202309 171.244 115.339 172.310
202312 176.665 114.781 178.628
202403 165.252 115.227 166.441
202406 189.166 114.781 191.268
202409 209.673 115.785 210.165
202412 222.607 114.893 224.862
202503 219.537 115.116 221.331
202506 210.497 114.907 212.602
202509 209.919 115.471 210.982
202512 214.601 115.832 215.016
202603 212.046 116.303 211.596
202606 215.436 116.056 215.436

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.31 mean?
ZTO Express (Cayman) (MEX:ZTO N) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.31 as of Aug. 22, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 2.50. Over the past decade, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.13 to 2.94. According to the industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #551 out of 713 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 77.3%.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.31 is near median its 10-year median of 2.50. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.13 to a high of 2.94. The Transportation industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.26. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s value of 2.31 is 83.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #551 out of 713 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to CHRW and EXPD?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #551 out of 713 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places ZTO Express (Cayman) in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.26. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s value of 2.31 is 83.3% above this benchmark. Historically, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.13 to 2.94 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.50 vs. the industry median of 1.26, ZTO Express (Cayman) has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Transportation company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Transportation companies is 1.26, based on 713 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.31 is 83.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.31, which is near median its own 10-year median of 2.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (MEX:ZTO N) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN512.26, compared to a current price of MXN394.77 — trading 22.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.31, which is near median its 10-year median of 2.50 and 83.3% above the Transportation industry median of 1.26. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 95/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (MEX:ZTO N), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.31 as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (MEX:ZTO N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN394.77 is trading 22.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN512.26. GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ZTO N:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.31 (near median its 10-year median of 2.50)
  • GF Value™: MXN512.26 vs. price of MXN394.77 (22.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100
  • Industry Position: 83.3% above the Transportation median (#551 of 713)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ZTO N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Business Description

Address No. 1685 Huazhi Road, Building One, Qingpu District, Shanghai, CHN, 201708
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ZTO N

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN394.77
Price
MXN512.26
GF Value